Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000159 0.000176 0.000194 0.000215 0.000239 0.000264 0.000294
2025-09-14 0.000130 0.000155 0.000184 0.000220 0.000264 0.000316 0.000383
2025-09-21 0.000108 0.000136 0.000170 0.000216 0.000275 0.000350 0.000454
2025-09-28 0.000092 0.000120 0.000157 0.000207 0.000277 0.000371 0.000508
2025-10-05 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152 0.000210 0.000293 0.000410 0.000590
2025-10-12 0.000077 0.000108 0.000151 0.000215 0.000312 0.000455 0.000685
2025-10-19 0.000070 0.000100 0.000144 0.000212 0.000318 0.000480 0.000754
2025-10-26 0.000065 0.000096 0.000141 0.000215 0.000333 0.000520 0.000850
2025-11-02 0.000060 0.000090 0.000136 0.000212 0.000339 0.000547 0.000926
2025-11-09 0.000056 0.000086 0.000133 0.000212 0.000349 0.000580 0.001018
2025-11-16 0.000052 0.000081 0.000128 0.000210 0.000354 0.000605 0.001098
2025-11-23 0.000047 0.000076 0.000121 0.000203 0.000350 0.000615 0.001150
2025-11-30 0.000044 0.000072 0.000119 0.000203 0.000361 0.000652 0.001263
2025-12-07 0.000042 0.000071 0.000118 0.000207 0.000378 0.000705 0.001419
2025-12-14 0.000039 0.000066 0.000113 0.000204 0.000380 0.000729 0.001516
2025-12-21 0.000036 0.000062 0.000107 0.000196 0.000374 0.000735 0.001574
2025-12-28 0.000034 0.000060 0.000106 0.000199 0.000389 0.000785 0.001742
2026-01-04 0.000033 0.000059 0.000106 0.000203 0.000408 0.000849 0.001951
2026-01-11 0.000031 0.000056 0.000103 0.000200 0.000411 0.000875 0.002073
2026-01-18 0.000030 0.000055 0.000102 0.000203 0.000426 0.000931 0.002279
2026-01-25 0.000028 0.000053 0.000099 0.000201 0.000430 0.000962 0.002426
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000051 0.000097 0.000201 0.000439 0.001006 0.002616
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000198 0.000442 0.001037 0.002775